11/14/2005
Before we get started, let me take a moment to congratulate Astros Senior VP of Operations Rob Matwick for his recent induction into the Texas Baseball Hall of Fame. He said in his acceptance speech, "No one comes to the ballpark to watch Rob Matwick work," but I can say with certainty that he plays a huge role in making the whole Astros experience enjoyable for fans. Congrats, Rob.
What are the Astros going to do with Chris Burke and Brad Lidge? Will Lidge ever become a starting pitcher? -- Danielle S., Houston
The Astros have some decisions to make, regarding Burke. Drayton McLane has made it clear he wants Craig Biggio to reach 3,000 hits in an Astros uniform, and Biggio is projected to reach that plateau in April or May of 2007. That leaves Burke without the option of playing his natural position, second base.
Burke did a terrific job in left field this year, especially considering he had never played there before. But the corner outfield positions are usually occupied by players with better power numbers, and Burke is not going to be a home run hitter. He's a top-of-the-order, gap hitter who will hit more doubles than homers.
The Astros could deal him, but I don't think they'll do anything hasty. Tim Purpura loves Burke, and it's going to take a mind-blowing offer for him to let go of the former No. 1 draft pick.
Regarding Lidge, the Astros aren't going to do anything, and they shouldn't. Lidge is their closer. I don't think the team has any interest in converting him into a starter. He has a nasty slider, which helped him become one of the top closers in the league.
Lidge had a rough postseason, and he has the entire winter to think about it, to get past it, and to get ready for Spring Training. The Astros aren't worried about Lidge's confidence, and I'm guessing Lidge isn't worried about it, either. He'll be fine.
I know that everyone likes to talk about how great Adam Everett is defensively, but I feel that the Astros really need a player with a solid bat. Everett had a lot of crucial at-bats with runners in scoring position throughout the World Series (and even the playoffs) and did nothing. Those could have been critical runs. Are the Astros even considering going after a player like Rafael Furcal, who has a strong glove and is also more reliable with a bat? -- James M.
I'm assuming the overwhelming number of e-mails I've received about trading Everett stem from the fact that Furcal is a free agent. We can all forget about Furcal coming to Houston. He's too expensive and his agent is seeking a five- or six-year deal. The Astros aren't going to do that, especially since Furcal has some character issues that need to be considered.
Yes, Everett had a lot of crucial at-bats with runners on base in the World Series. So did Biggio, Lance Berkman and Morgan Ensberg, as did Jason Lane and Brad Ausmus and Willy Taveras. In other words, everyone struggled, not just Everett. I can't imagine placing the blame on the Nos. 7-8 hitters for the team being an offensive flop in the World Series.
Everett is here for defensive purposes, and he was terrific in '05. Like Lidge, judging a player on what he did in one week is dangerous. Ask the Mets. They threw $119 million at Carlos Beltran, largely based on what he did over a two-week span for the Astros in the 2004 postseason. Last I heard, the Mets were looking at trade possibilities involving Beltran. I guess they're unhappy that a player who hit .267 in '04 hit .266 in '05.
I'm not one to make predictions, because I believe it's pretty much a waste of time. But let me go out on a limb for argument's sake. My prediction for 2006: Everett wins the Gold Glove, and Andy Pettitte wins the Cy Young.
The Astros were unable to sign any quality free agents last year because the free agents signed with other teams while management waited and pursued Beltran. This year, I firmly believe management will not aggressively pursue the free agent market because they will have to wait for a decision by Roger Clemens to return. By the time Clemens gives management his decision, the top free agents will have signed with other teams. Is management going to make the same fatal mistake for two consecutive years? Clemens, with all due respect, is a huge liability because of his age. It's plain and simple, the Astros have great young talent, but they need another veteran bat in the lineup.
My question: do you think management will request for Clemens to give them a speedy response which will enable management to sign free agents? -- Keith F.
The Astros are surely hoping Roger doesn't wait until January to decide, as he did last year. From what I am hearing, Roger hopes to have his decision within a couple of weeks. If he decides to return, it will help to know how much they're going to have to pay him and how much money will be left over to fill the rest of the roster.
Without Clemens, the Astros have about $20 million to spend on 20 players. With Clemens, they're probably going to have to up the payroll. Either way, they need to know, sooner rather than later. I believe Clemens will announce something in December.
Am I missing something here that determines what constitutes "Rookie of the Year?" I'm looking at all of the stats of Willy Taveras vs. Ryan Howard. How can they possibly pick Howard over Taveras? I'm aware Howard had a great August/September and hit more home runs. But let's wait and see what he can do during a full season in the Major Leagues before we start giving him an award that obviously belongs to someone else. Your thoughts? -- Mark M., Austin
I go back and forth with this issue. Willy was the only candidate who played the entire season on the Major League level, which should count for a lot. He also maintained a batting average around .300 for most of the year, another point in his favor.
But I can't begrudge Howard for winning. I realize that he was with the Phillies for only half the season, but it's hard to argue against a guy who hit 22 homers and drove in 63 runs over 88 games. Howard stepped in for Jim Thome and kept the Phillies in contention.
Taveras did a decent job at the top of the order because of his speed. He beat out grounders and reached on bunt singles, which became the focal point of his game. But his .324 on-base percentage wasn't impressive. He had only 20 extra-base hits all year. He'll have to improve on that, because as a leadoff man, he has to be able to move runners over. He also has to drive in runs here and there.
That said, the most important thing to remember is that Willy had never played above Double-A before 2005. What he was able to accomplish, while literally learning on the job, is remarkable.
I truly believe Phil Garner was snubbed for NL Manager of the Year by the writers. From the standpoint of accomplishments, I think he clearly outshines Bobby Cox and Tony LaRussa.
Regarding LaRussa, everyone expected his team to repeat as NL Central champions, and most of us expected him to win the pennant, as well. Scott Rolen notwithstanding, La Russa had a pretty healthy club all season, and they did exactly what they were expected, and are paid handsomely, to do.
Regarding Cox, his accomplishments this season with his team are well-documented, but relative to Garner's, I still think they lag. Cox started the season with a much more experienced team than Garner, and although much has been said of them finishing the team with so many rookie and young contributors, they also never battled back from 15 games below .500. That kind of improvement doesn't just happen because guys finally get hot. It takes tremendous leadership from a manager and a coaching staff to orchestrate that kind of turnaround.
I suppose you can make a weak argument for Garner placing second (and I stress weak), but third? Never. -- Chris C., Md.
I have no problem with Cox winning it. He was faced with another roster overturn and potentially devastating injuries, and he had to break in 18 rookies. And he won the division. Again.
Good points about La Russa. I, too, believe Garner should have finished second. He was faced with a far bigger challenge in '05 than he was in '04, when he took over after the All-Star break. Last year, he had a bunch of sluggers and Hall of Famers who got their act together late in the season, just in time. In '05, Garner had to manage a lineup that was in the bottom five in the league in nearly every offensive category, and in the bottom of the division on June 1.
Even though Howard beat Taveras in rookie of the year voting and Cox and La Russa trumped Garner for Manager of the Year, I'm sure the winners would have gladly traded their award for a World Series appearance. In that respect, I doubt Taveras and Garner are losing any sleep over the voting results.
Taylor Buchholz has had his share of injury problems through out his first two years in the Astros organization and is now sparkling in the Arizona Fall League. Is he a realistic probability to become the Astros' fifth starter for next year, or will he need another year? -- Greg S. Bloomington, IN
The Astros expect Buchholz to contend for a spot on the Major League roster during Spring Training, but his role is unclear. He could be a candidate for the fifth starter spot, but they're not opposed to weaning him in as a setup man, a la Chad Qualls.
Source: http://houston.astros.mlb.com/